Locally this prediction yields:
Basildon and Billericay
MP John Baron (CON)
|2005 Votes||2005 Share||Prediction|
|CON Majority||3,587||9.19%||Pred Maj||12.12%|
Basildon South and East Thurrock
MP Angela Smith (LAB)
Of course, there is probably a long way to go to the actual election, though with 'decisive' Gordon in charge who knows, but if I were Angela Smith I would be a little worried. This particular contest is marked by an incumbent who is actually a pretty good MP and a challenger in Stephen Metcalfe who will make an excellent MP. The people of Basildon and East Thurrock are lucky to have such high quality candidates for the next general election.